Flight paths squeezed as Iran conflict closes more airspace

The closure of airspace over the southern half of Azerbaijan is putting additional pressure on airlines scrambling to respond to disruption caused by the conflict in the Gulf.

Flight traffic had already been severely disrupted in a region which in normal times acts as a significant hub for the global airline industry.

Aviation expert John Strickland said there was now a "very tight range of options for airlines" trying to navigate the current situation.

Western airlines have had to avoid Russian airspace, including Siberia, since the invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Now all flights are steering clear of Iran and Iraq airspace, seeking alternative routes to the north or south.

Flightradar24 data maps show real-time congestion in an approximately 100km wide strip across the north of Azerbaijan, a country roughly the size of Portugal.

"It could mean delays and longer routings, just as happened post-Ukraine," said Strickland.

"Flights already doing circuitous routing have even less choice."

Some airlines had begun to adapt routes in recent weeks as tension built in the Gulf, he said. This week even more flights were forced to switch to routes further south to avoid the conflict zone.

There was likely to be congestion at busy times of the day, for example west to east in the afternoon and evening when Europe to Asia flights are typically scheduled, and east to west early in the morning when flights tend to come from Asia to Europe, he said.

That represented "another big complication for airlines' planning" on top of the usual factors, such as meteorological conditions, and the ramifications that a delayed flight can have for an aircraft and crew's next scheduled flight.

Most airlines are not currently having to add in additional stops to accomodate the longer routes, but Qantas has added a Singapore refuelling stop on its non-stop flight from Perth to London, he said. Most flights to India will be taking longer and going via routes to the south of the Gulf.